Justine Henin (1) vs Serena Williams (8)
This is the blockbuster we were all expecting, not hoping for, mind you, cos, seriously, did we expect either one of these players to, like, lose before the quarterfinals of a Grand Slam? The last edition of Bud Collins' tennis encyclopedia was published in 2002, and ended with Serena Williams pretty much winning everything in sight. Who'd have thought a year later, a feisty little Belgian, all of 5 ft 5, pale as a sheet, and pretty much as fragile as one, would emerge to upend the American from the top of the women's rankings? But Justine Henin did exactly that, beat Williams in the semifinal of this tournament in a match so contentious both of them won't be forgetting it for the rest of their careers, to win the first of her five major titles. Between them, they have won 13 grand slam titles, that's 10 more than the rest of the quarterfinalists put together. Make no mistake, THIS is the final before the final, and it'd be a massive shocker if the winner of this match doesn't go on to win the title. Henin is the two-time defending champion here, riding a 18 match winning streak at the French Open, and she's won the last 14 of those in straight sets, which is all the more impressive considering she's not been playing anywhere near her best in this year's tournament so far. Serena Williams pretty much won the Australian Open in January because she felt like it, ranked 81st in the world and written off by all but herself, and after a minor skirmish in the first round here, has pretty much steamrolled the rest of her opponents. Williams has won 6 of the 9 matches between the two, but the three Henin has won have all come on clay. This is a tough one to call, because when it comes to crunch time, the form book goes out the window with these two ultimate warriors on the women's tour. The bad blood between the two (refer Roland Garros 2003) has dried into a crusty respect over the years but still, expect neither to show any mercy come Tuesday. Justine is undoubtedly the better player on clay, her backhand skids low and her serve, despite her small frame, is nothing to scoff at. The red dirt gives her that crucial extra second to get to Serena's bullets, forcing the American to go for one more shot, or go for a little too much, turning the follow-up to would-be winners into unforced errors. Still, it's not as though clay turns Serena's bludgeoning groundstrokes into puff balls. Serena's still able to crunch them like no one else can and if Henin was out of the equation, I'd have no doubt she would overpower her way to the title. But the Belgian is here, and if anyone has the guts to stare Williams in the eye and not blink, it's this one here. They last met in the final of the Miami masters this year, which Serena won by the smallest of margins in a match in which, as Henin says, they "fought like tigers". The stakes are even higher here and the battle will be even more brutal. Don't expect either to give an inch, or come out with anything less than their A+ games. They know each other way too well and they know they will have to win it. No one's gonna lose this match and my money's on the three-time champion. Serena will not lose a three-set dogfight, so I am going for Justine Henin in two.
Jelena Jankovic (4) vs Nicole Vaidisova (6)
Let me say from the outset that I expect Jankovic to win this one. Now if Serena beats Justine in the first quarters, we're gonna see Jelena here pummelled in the semis. But if Justine wins, as their history suggests, we're in for a three-set dogfight, and who knows, Jelena might just come up tops for once. But let's not get ahead of ourselves. Vaidisova had her breakthrough here last year when she reached the semis and led Kuznetsova by a set and break up, and would have made the final if she hadn't cracked under pressure. This 18 year old is a fast learner, so don't expect her to fold if she's got Jelena on the ropes. The problem is, Jankovic is playing out of her skin at the moment. She looked down and out in the third round, when Venus Williams had her doing splits with some of the fiercest hitting I've seen the elder Williams do in a while, but she dug deep, stayed with Venus and won the third set 6-1. Venus playing good tennis and losing six games to one, that's how good Jankovic is right now. For me, the match against Venus was the litmus test for Jelena and she showed she is definitely a title contender here. Jankovic and Vaidisova have similar games- they both hit a heavy ball, their backhands are their money shots, but the difference here is that Vaidisova is a Bollettieri girl, which used to be enough to win a major title, just ask Monica Seles, but isn't anymore. Vaidisova, like Maria Sharapova, another Bollettieri android, has no plan B when smacking the felt off the ball isn't working. She's not short on ego, none of the Bollettieri prodigies ever are, nor on pluck and she'll be on all-out offense in this match, but once she realizes Jankovic is returning her bullets with interest, I'm not sure she'll have any tricks up her sleeve. Jankovic in straight sets.
Ana Ivanovic (7) vs Svetlana Kuznetsova (3)
Kuznetsova's not won a title yet this year but she's had a stellar season nonetheless, reaching a whole clutch of finals. Maybe she should try winning them next... Still, she's had a good tune-up coming into this year's French Open, reaching the finals in both the premier clay court tournaments leading to Roland Garros- Berlin and Rome. She lost in Rome to Jelena Jankovic, whom as we've noted, is a contender for the title this year, and on Tuesday she'll be facing her conqueror in Berlin, yet another Serbian teenager, this time Ana Ivanovic, who beat her 7-6 in the third set in their Berlin final. Ivanovic is a great player, even better than Jankovic, in my opinion. Her serve is huge- so far, she's recorded the second-fastest serve in this year's tournament- her groundstrokes are clean and hard and her movement is superb. I think I've said this before, to me, she's a new and improved Lindsay Davenport... right down to the temperament, unfortunately. When Davenport was on, no one could touch her. But when she wasn't on, and the strokes were going long, her shoulders would slouch, the hangdog expression would come on, and half the battle would be lost. Same thing with Ivanovic. Plus, Davenport took a while to develop that champion's killer instinct, something Ivanovic is still lacking. Kuznetsova is only about two years older than Ivanovic, but she's the veteran here in this match, with two major finals and a US Open title. She's got great stamina, great speed and probably the most feared forehand in the women's game at the moment. Plus, she comes into the tournament having finally beaten Justine Henin for the first time in her career. On clay. Talk about confidence. That Berlin final won't even be on her mind. 7-6 in the third? Just a couple of points here and there. She lost in the final last year to Henin, and she knows her best shot at a second major is at this tournament. Ivanovic is in her first Grand Slam quarterfinal and nerves will play a big part in this match. Kuzzie's been here before and won't need too much warming up. If Ivanovic doesn't shake off the jitters quickly, the match could be over very quickly. Still, Ana's too good to just roll over and her gritty win over the tenacious Anabel Medina Garrigues in the 4th round will have prepped her for a tough fight. Kuznetsova will start off the blocks fast, but I think Ivanovic will win in three.
Anna Chakvetadze (9) vs Maria Sharapova (2)
First question: Where is Amelie Mauresmo? Oh yes, she succumbed once again to her French Open nerves... either we should really stop considering her a contender for the title here, even though she's probably only second to Henin on clay, or that girl should jog her memory and remember she's already a two-time major champion... Anyway, Anna Chakvetadze disposed of Momo's conqueror Lucie Safarova in the fourth round and now finds herself rather unexpectedly in the quarterfinals of a major. A lot of media attention has been going to Chakvetadze's compatriots- the glamour and powerful lungs of Maria Sharapova, the powder-puff serve of Elena Dementieva, the exotic mystique of Anastasia Myskina, and then you have Kuznetsova, Petrova and Safina, and almost no one ever talks about Anna Chakvetadze. It's not that she's not any good. In fact, she might be the best all-round player among the Russians, and she's snuck very quietly indeed into the world's top ten. The comparisons with Martina Hingis have been made. Her subtle touch, her all-court game, her anticipation. Like Hingis, her biggest strength is that she has no glaring weaknesses. Meanwhile, Maria Sharapova, not having played much since February, has managed, once again, to get into the latter stages of a major through sheer force of will. She had a titanic fourth round tussle with the crafty Patty Schnyder, saving two match points, but much like Serena did in Australia, Sharapova is actually playing herself into form in this tournament. Her game is ill-suited to clay, in fact she herself concedes she feels like a cow on ice on the surface, and the French crowd clearly do not like her as much as the advertisers do. But Shazza thrives on beating the odds and she's never made it past the quarters at Roland Garros. The crowd will be behind Chakvetadze in this match, and that'll only fuel Maria's determination. Anna's court craft will be a notch up from Schnyder's, but she's not at the level of a Martina Hingis yet, and though I expect her to downright humiliate a player of Maria's little subtlety at points in this match, I think Sharapova will grit her teeth, pummel Chakvetadze into submission and make it through to her first French Open semifinal in straight sets.