I'm gonna keep this short cos the start of the school year is always a son of a bitch, but hey, I can't let a Grand Slam go by without saying something. The warm-up tournaments for the Australian Open have, as has been the case lately, not been very useful in helping suss out who the major contenders will be. Can anyone really see Michael Llodra (Adelaide) or Eleni Danilidou (Hobart) as 2008's first Grand Slam champions? That said, the final between Justine Henin and Svetlana Kuznetsova in Sydney could well be a sign of things to come in the next fortnight. Kuzzie was a point away from leading 4-0 in the final set but Henin rallied, as usual to win 4-6 6-2 6-4, bringing her head-to-head against Kuznetsova to a ridiculous 15-2 (I mean, this is the number one versus the number two we're talking about).
Andy Roddick won his third straight title at the Kooyong exhibition tournament, but Federer's gone on to win the Australian Open all three years, so I really don't think we should be reading too much into Roddick's chances at the year's first major. A few intriguing subplots have been carried over from the end of the last season into this one and the Australian Open could provide some answers here-
Are we gonna see a sophomore slump from Novak Djokovic? The 20 year old Serb was the break-out star of 2007, ending the year as the indisputable world number 3, but he was completely off-color during the Masters Cup and struggled at the Hopman Cup earlier this year. The Djoker has a lot of points to defend this year and whether or not he can consolidate or better his position as the biggest threat to the Federer-Nadal axis will be one of the most compelling stories of this year.
Speaking of Nadal, the Spaniard, like Djokovic, had a dismal end to 2007 and an equally shaky start to the new season. He's not won a title since Stuttgart in July last year and was manhandled by Federer at the Masters Cup. That said, it's become a bit of a moot point that Rafa's time in the sun is always the first half of the season, culminating in the French Open and Wimbledon, after which he usually becomes almost a non-factor. But Rafa's 2008 campaign hasn't had the best of starts- he suffered the worst defeat of his career in the final of the tournament in Chennai, winning just one game against Mikhail Youzhny. Has the high-octane style of the Spanish bullfighter finally worn him down physically? I think Rafa still has a good two or three years ahead of him, but his performances at the clay court season will be a good indicator of whether he's beginning to get a step slower.
And of course, if he does, expect Roger Federer to pounce on the French Open immediately. The 2008 season could see the first time a player wins the Golden Slam (all four majors and the Olympic gold) since Steffi Graf in 1988. Federer's the overwhelming favorite at the Aussie, Wimbledon and US Open, but has played second fiddle to Nadal at the French for the last three years. If Rafa doesn't control the clay court season as he's had the last few seasons, the mighty Fed has a very good chance of winning it all this year.
Another player who's winning it all and really does not look like she's stopping any time soon is Justine Henin. For a while it seemed the Belgian's career would be overshadowed by the Williams sisters ala Mandlikova by Navratilova or more recently Roddick by Federer, but Justine has shown in the last two seasons that she can take on the sisters and bring the silverware home. She's not lost a match since that freaky semifinal meltdown against Marion Bartoli at Wimbledon, but at the WTA Championships, she showed just how good her memory serves her, avenging her loss against the Frenchwoman by double-bageling her in the round robin stages.
Henin will start as favorite for the Australian Open, but keep a look out for Maria Sharapova. Last year was her worst season but she made up for it in grand style when she powered her way into the final of the WTA Championships and was just narrowed edged by Henin in the best women's match of the year. She has that championship glint back in her eye and the way she was hitting at the end of last year was quite phenomenal. She faces a stern challenge at the Australian Open- a possible second round encounter with Lindsay Davenport- and the crowd, needless to say, will be rooting for the comeback mom who's lost just one of 20 matches since she returned to the tour after a maternity leave we all thought was a retirement. The two women are both high velocity hitters, Davenport has the cleaner groundies but Sharapova is younger and fitter. My money's on Shazza and if the standard of the WTA Championship final was anything to go by, it'd be a real treat if we get an Henin-Sharapova final at the Aussie Open.


